SPDN: An Inexpensive Way To Profit When The S&P 500 Falls

Summary
SPDN is not the largest or oldest way to short the S&P 500, but it’s a solid choice.
This ETF uses a variety of financial instruments to target a return opposite that of the S&P 500 Index.
SPDN’s 0.49% Expense Ratio is nearly half that of the larger, longer-tenured -1x Inverse S&P 500 ETF.
Details aside, the potential continuation of the equity bear market makes single-inverse ETFs an investment segment investor should be familiar with.
We rate SPDN a Strong Buy because we believe the risks of a continued bear market greatly outweigh the possibility of a quick return to a bull market.
Put a gear stick into R position, (Reverse).
Birdlkportfolio

By Rob Isbitts

Summary
The S&P 500 is in a bear market, and we don’t see a quick-fix. Many investors assume the only way to navigate a potentially long-term bear market is to hide in cash, day-trade or “just hang in there” while the bear takes their retirement nest egg.

The Direxion Daily S&P 500® Bear 1X ETF (NYSEARCA:SPDN) is one of a class of single-inverse ETFs that allow investors to profit from down moves in the stock market.

SPDN is an unleveraged, liquid, low-cost way to either try to hedge an equity portfolio, profit from a decline in the S&P 500, or both. We rate it a Strong Buy, given our concern about the intermediate-term outlook for the global equity market.

Strategy
SPDN keeps it simple. If the S&P 500 goes up by X%, it should go down by X%. The opposite is also expected.

Proprietary ETF Grades
Offense/Defense: Defense

Segment: Inverse Equity

Sub-Segment: Inverse S&P 500

Correlation (vs. S&P 500): Very High (inverse)

Expected Volatility (vs. S&P 500): Similar (but opposite)

Holding Analysis
SPDN does not rely on shorting individual stocks in the S&P 500. Instead, the managers typically use a combination of futures, swaps and other derivative instruments to create a portfolio that consistently aims to deliver the opposite of what the S&P 500 does.

Strengths
SPDN is a fairly “no-frills” way to do what many investors probably wished they could do during the first 9 months of 2022 and in past bear markets: find something that goes up when the “market” goes down. After all, bonds are not the answer they used to be, commodities like gold have, shall we say, lost their luster. And moving to cash creates the issue of making two correct timing decisions, when to get in and when to get out. SPDN and its single-inverse ETF brethren offer a liquid tool to use in a variety of ways, depending on what a particular investor wants to achieve.

Weaknesses
The weakness of any inverse ETF is that it does the opposite of what the market does, when the market goes up. So, even in bear markets when the broader market trend is down, sharp bear market rallies (or any rallies for that matter) in the S&P 500 will cause SPDN to drop as much as the market goes up.

Opportunities
While inverse ETFs have a reputation in some circles as nothing more than day-trading vehicles, our own experience with them is, pardon the pun, exactly the opposite! We encourage investors to try to better-understand single inverse ETFs like SPDN. While traders tend to gravitate to leveraged inverse ETFs (which actually are day-trading tools), we believe that in an extended bear market, SPDN and its ilk could be a game-saver for many portfolios.

Threats
SPDN and most other single inverse ETFs are vulnerable to a sustained rise in the price of the index it aims to deliver the inverse of. But that threat of loss in a rising market means that when an investor considers SPDN, they should also have a game plan for how and when they will deploy this unique portfolio weapon.

Proprietary Technical Ratings
Short-Term Rating (next 3 months): Strong Buy

Long-Term Rating (next 12 months): Buy

Conclusions
ETF Quality Opinion
SPDN does what it aims to do, and has done so for over 6 years now. For a while, it was largely-ignored, given the existence of a similar ETF that has been around much longer. But the more tenured SPDN has become, the more attractive it looks as an alternative.

ETF Investment Opinion

SPDN is rated Strong Buy because the S&P 500 continues to look as vulnerable to further decline. And, while the market bottomed in mid-June, rallied, then waffled since that time, our proprietary macro market indicators all point to much greater risk of a major decline from this level than a fast return to bull market glory. Thus, SPDN is at best a way to exploit and attack the bear, and at worst a hedge on an otherwise equity-laden portfolio.

Market Segmentation And Digital Marketing

Digital marketing is now firmly on the agenda when businesses are developing their go to market strategies, and this is something that seems set to continue in the coming years. Since the internet is able to appeal to large audiences and is able to get the brand identity of an organization communicated easier than before, it is possible to see exceptional business growth due to the rollout of this form of strategy.What some businesses are failing to keep in mind, however, is that the development and subsequent execution of digital marketing strategies is not always so simple and straightforward as portrayed by many. One thing to keep in mind is that of the business fundamental of market segmentation; that appealing to different types of people and different interests and the process of implementing this using the internet. What one segment of the market may like something that another segment may find boring or annoying; this simple point can affect how successful business marketing strategies are when implemented using digital technologies.When looking to develop strategies and generate interest from specific market segments it is important to remember the “message to market match” therefore however an organization appeals to a market segment will by definition depend on the content of the message and ensuring that message reaches its intended target market. As an example a company may be communicating a marketing message via an image or graphics which is in effect the same thing that is being said via a well written article, the image may end up being more successful if the target market segment has more visual people in it. The point being made if that different types of users are going to respond differently depending on the types of marketing strategies deployed, this marketing fundamental must be adhered to during the development and execution of online marketing strategies.Since there are so many different types of end users using the internet daily it means that organizations have to continually refine internet marketing strategies in order to gain a more detailed understanding of that which their target market segment audience[s] prefers. If any company is looking to market to a large audience using digital techniques; then it is going to have to pay attention to marketing to different segments using the internet. To take this further it will be necessary to further subdivide the internet as a marketing channel into sub channels. As an example we could consider…
Social media
Video
Podcasting / audio
Search engine marketing
… as sub channels [and the list could go on an on!] within the digital marketing realm, therefore companies have to use these sub channels in order to communicate its messages to specific market segments.It is critically important to make sure that all digital content is carefully crafted and delivered via the most appropriate sub digital marketing channel in order to generate the desired effect for the company. Consider consistently creating quality, appropriate [remember the "message to market match"?] and detailed [as appropriate] content designed to appeal via a combination of visual, auditory and kinesthetic modes in order to resonate with as many people as possible.As businesses of all sizes bring digital marketing more and more into their strategic mix, the question of market segmentation and making sure that the message of the organization first reaches its target market segment and secondly resonates with it needs to be high on the agenda of company executives. It is true to state that whilst many organizations may not like the extra work that goes into developing strategic digital marketing strategies that takes the marketing segmentation fundamental into consideration, it is necessary if it hopes to appeal to as many market segments as possible that it has identified for the growth of the business.
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All About Exfoliating for Organic Skin Care

If the Bible were about skin care there would only be five commandments. Exfoliating is the second of the five commandments of skin care. Unfortunately, most people actively follow only one of these five commandments/rules; most people only do 20% of what they should be doing for proper skin care. Dermatologists, cosmeticians, and beauticians could, and have, for years given tips and recommendations for great skin care. However, most of these tips are irrelevant or are less effective if you are not fulfilling the five most basic rules, needs, necessities, requisites, and requirements for great skin. These five rules should be considered the foundation for any great skin care system. Like any foundation, they can be built and expanded upon (for example by the said tips by skin care professionals mentioned above) – you just have to get the basics covered first. We recommend that you use organic and all natural skin care products because the dangers of using harsh (potentially carcinogenic) chemicals on your skin are simply not worth the risk – however, even before you consider using organic skin care products you should at the very least be following the five commandments of skin care.ExfoliatingAlthough exfoliating is one of the most important steps in a skin care regimen, it is far too often completely skipped by people. This is a big skin care mistake; every type of skin will benefit from exfoliation at least twice a week. The reason that you need to continually exfoliate is because the lower layers of skin regenerate new skin cells and new skin which are pushed up to the top layer of the skin leaving dead skin on the surface layer. Exfoliation will remove these dead skin cells as well as any excess oil, dirt, makeup, dust, harsh chemicals, and any other pollutant left on the top layer of the skin after cleansing. Effective exfoliation leaves the skin soft, refreshed, and smooth. Effective exfoliation will also allow toners and moisturizers to penetrate deeper into the skin. A note of interest here is that in the same way that exfoliation opens up your pores for toners and moisturizers to penetrate deep into the skin it can also allow dirt, dust, harsh chemicals from skin care products, and other pollutants to penetrate deeper into the skin so you want to make sure you close your pores before going about your day. It has been suggested that men have softer skin than women over the lifetime of their skin likely because they shave everyday which helps to remove the top layer of dead skin which is a form of exfoliation in itself. These dead skin cells need to be gently exfoliated off the surface layer to prevent clogged pores.Just like cleansing, you want to make sure that you do not over-exfoliate which can cause surface irritation and redness and may cause your natural oils to spiral out of control. You also want to make sure you gently exfoliate in a circular motion. Do not scrub too hard; your skin is not a garage floor and should not be treated like one. Be very gentle with your skin to prevent premature aging. You may want to aim to exfoliate anywhere from twice a week to every other day. You will have to do some trial and error to find the right balance for your skin. Some people like to use an exfoliating cleanser to keep things simple but if you insist on having two separate products like we suggest it is best to cleanse before you exfoliate so that you can clean dust and grime off the top layer of skin before opening up your pores. Just like cleansing, you want to spend about three times longer rinsing your skin than scrubbing. Also, some people only like to exfoliate in the winter months or use different scrubs for the summer months and the winter months. This is because in the winter the dead skin cells on the surface can dry your skin out even more so than summer months because the skin is already prone to drying and produces less sebum in the summer. For this reason, at Giddy Organics, we offer scrubs that are designed for winter months as well as scrubs for summer months.